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Not Your Parent's Federal Reserve - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf Whether one likes it or not this Federal Reserve, under the direction of Chairman Ben Bernanke, has not exactly been shy in turning traditional Fed actions on their collective head. Another major development occurred on January 25.
The Federal Reserve—now in its 99th year of existence as this nation’s central bank—has traditionally tried to keep financial market players and investors in the dark as to future policy moves. As a result, major financial institutions for years employed highly compensated “Fed watchers” to decipher every word…every nuance…of Fed statements to gain an advantage regarding the Fed’s next monetary policy moves… |
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"The Danger Zone" - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf The world’s economy is “deeply into the danger zone” because of risks from the eurozone, the International Monetary Fund has stated. The IMF predicts the global economy will grow by 3.25% (after inflation) in 2012, down from an earlier forecast of 4.0%. Global output is forecast to expand 3.9% in 2013, down from a previous forecast of 4.5%. |
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Global ABCs - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf This is the companion piece to Domestic ABCs of December 13, 2011. In looking back to similar pieces six and 12 months ago, it’s amazing how little has changed
America—the concept of “decoupling” has drawn a lot of attention in recent months as the American economy has strengthened somewhat, whileEurope,China, andIndia slow down |
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The 200,000 - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf The American economy registered one more sign of “better than expected” performance in December with the net addition of 200,000 jobs. Financial market players had expected a rise of roughly 155,000 net new jobs. In addition, the nation’s unemployment rate declined from an adjusted 8.7% rate in November to 8.5% in December, the lowest level in nearly three years. The current 8.5% jobless rate compares to the 9.4% rate of one year ago, the 9.8% rate of December 2009, and the 7.3% rate during December 2008. |
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India - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf Reference is frequently made to the BRIC nations…Brazil, Russia, India, and China…four nations with considerable geographic size, large populations, and enormous economic potential. The past few years have seen China garner most of the attention, as that nation of 1.3 billion people just surpassed Japan as the world’s second largest economy. |
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