![]() | Howard Voyles - President & CEO | HousingMatrix, Inc. |
| Howard Voyles: How Does The US GDP Size Up? |
| Written by Howard Voyles | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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How Does The US GDP Size Up? - Howard Voyles / HousingMatrix.com Twice-yearly the OECD publishes growth forecasts for the world’s largest economies. November’s report lowered expectations and said the euro zone has fallen into recession. It also warned that the bloc’s debt crisis, now affecting countries previously seen as safe havens, could “massively escalate economic disruption if not addressed.” Here are some country-by-country highlights: U.S. - 2012
growth forecast 2.0% vs 1.7% in 2011. Economic recovery lost significant
momentum. Equity market losses and house-price falls are weighing on
households. Demand will be restrained for some time. Gradual improvements are
seen after mid-2012.
Euro
Area - 2012 growth forecast 0.2% vs 1.6%. Recovery stalled amid
escalating sovereign debt crisis. Swift mobilization of financial resources is needed.
They will have risks from slow growth, sovereign debt, and weakness in bank
system and lack of policy cohesion.
Germany - 2012
growth forecast 0.6% vs 3.0%. They face a period of weakness amid lower global
exports, investment. Economic activity will rebound during 2012. Fiscal
situation will improve. Unemployment will likely remain near historic lows.
U.K. - 2012
growth forecast 0.5% vs 0.9%. Weak international demand, consumer
belt-tightening have halted recovery. Further quantitative measures are warranted.
Fiscal consolidation has bolstered credibility. Growth will pick up during 2012
as exports and consumption recovers.
France - 2012
growth forecast 0.3% vs 1.6%.They may have entered a short, shallow recession. Deteriorating
job creation will drive unemployment rate up to 10.4% at end-2012.
Italy - 2012
economy forecast will contract 0.5% from 0.7% growth in 2011. Recovery has lost
momentum. Output will decline into 2012. They need to fully implement an emergency
program and fiscal tightening to ensure sustainability.
So, how does the US stand? You will find the full report at www.oecd.org |
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