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Economic Commentaries
Jeff Thredgold: Domestic ABCs

Domestic ABCs - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf (12/13/11)

This week’s Tea Leaf is our semi-annual alphabetic view of the U.S. economy. Global ABCs will soon follow…

America—economic growth is likely to continue at just better than a snail’s pace, especially when considering the massive amounts of fiscal and monetary stimulus in the economy. Still, the U.S. economy, for the moment, is improving while Europe, China, and much of the world slows

Budget Deficits—I’m old enough to remember President Gerald Ford holding a news conference in the mid-1970s. He used a pointer and a large chart to explain why the nation might run a budget deficit as high as $40 billion that year. We now do that every 11 days

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Rodney Johnson: The Deal that is No Deal

The Deal That is No Deal - Rodney Johnson / HSDent (12/13/11)

The euro zone countries reached an agreement last week that was something of a mystery.  To great fanfare, the 17 members of the euro zone announced that the group would sign a new treaty that would call for automatic sanctions against countries that broke the fiscal rules, like a budget deficit greater than 3%. What makes this a conundrum is that the euro zone already has a similar rule.  Whenever a country has a deficit higher than this there are supposed to be fiscal sanctions or punishments meted out.  But they are not.  When both France and Germany ran higher than allowed deficits earlier this decade they simply decided it didn’t matter.  Now is different!...or so that is what the members say, because now the punishments are automatic.  Really? 

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Howard Voyles: How Does The US GDP Size Up?

How Does The US GDP Size Up? - Howard Voyles / HousingMatrix.com

Twice-yearly the OECD publishes growth forecasts for the world’s largest economies. November’s report lowered expectations and said the euro zone has fallen into recession. It also warned that the bloc’s debt crisis, now affecting countries previously seen as safe havens, could “massively escalate economic disruption if not addressed.” Here are some country-by-country highlights:

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Jeff Thredgold: Pick "yer" Poison

Pick "yer" Poison - Jeff Thredgold/Tea Leaf

If ever there was a monthly U.S. employment report that yielded more than a little confusion, the November release would be the ticket. There was literally something for everyone with an axe to grind—especially Democrats and Republicans…

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Rodney Johnson: The Reporting of Therft From Your Bank Account

The Reporting of Therft From Your Bank Account - Rodney Johnson/HSDent (12/07/11)

“As disclosed on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, published weekly and audited annually by independent auditors, total credit outstanding under the liquidity programs was never more than about $1.5 trillion; that was the peak reached in December 2008.”
 
 “As reported in the Annual Report of the Board of Governors, alongside the Board's audited financial statements, the emergency lending programs have generated an estimated $20 billion in interest income for the Treasury.  Moreover, in 2009 and 2010, the Federal Reserve returned to the taxpayers over $125 billion in excess earnings on its operations, including emergency lending.”

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