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Economic Commentaries
Jeff Thredgold: A Good Jobs Report

A Good Jobs Report - Jeff Thredgold | Tea Leaf

After three years of essentially lousy employment reports, the January 2012 report was simply better. Job growth exceeded expectations…it occurred in almost every employment classification…hours worked in various sectors rose…and the unemployment rate ticked down for the fifth month in a row.

The U.S. economy added an estimated 243,000 net new jobs during January. In addition, previously estimated job gains of the two prior months were revised higher by 60,000 jobs.

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Howard Voyles: What Really Happened to Housing?

What Really Happened to Housing - Howard Voyles | HousingMatrix.com

The Setup
By the mid-2008 Fannie and Freddie (the "GSEs") owned over $5.4 trillion in outstanding mortgage securities and all of them were backed by the full faith and credit of the GSEs, and by proxy the US Government. This totaled 45% of all the residential mortgage debt was aggressively marketed worldwide with the implicit guaranty of the US government.

The Patsies
Next investors in GSE securities were led to believe that the vast majority of the loans backing these securities were low risk.

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Weekly Economic & Housing Update - Will an Improving Economy Leave Housing Behind?

Will an Improving Economy Leave Housing Behind?  - Weekly Economic & Housing Update - HousingMatrix.com

Join the conversation with economist Rodney Johnson, president of HS Dent and host Howard Voyles, CEO of HousingMatrix.com. Understand the Forces Shaping the Economy & the Housing Market – Make Informed Decisions. The most informative 20 minutes you will spend this week. Click here to listen

 
Jeff Thredgold: Not Your Parent's Federal Reserve

Not Your Parent's Federal Reserve - Jeff Thredgold / Tea Leaf

Whether one likes it or not this Federal Reserve, under the direction of Chairman Ben Bernanke, has not exactly been shy in turning traditional Fed actions on their collective head.  Another major development occurred on January 25.
 
The Federal Reserve—now in its 99th year of existence as this nation’s central bank—has traditionally tried to keep financial market players and investors in the dark as to future policy moves.  As a result, major financial institutions for years employed highly compensated “Fed watchers” to decipher every word…every nuance…of Fed statements to gain an advantage regarding the Fed’s next monetary policy moves…

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Howard Voyles: More Predictions for 2012 Housing Market

More Predictions for 2012 Housing Market - Howard Voyles / HousingMatrix.com

David Goldberg, UBS’s home-builder analyst just released their predictions for the 2012 housing industry. Mr. Goldberg says housing will have a modest recovery this year. He told the WSJ “I’m more bullish today than I have been in the last five years.”

Here are USB’s predictions:

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